Democrats may benefit from gerrymandering — AP analysis

Poll: Democrats, Republicans Divided on Virginia Shooting Motivation

The nationwide study categorized the outcomes of all 435 U.S. House races and about 4,700 state House and Assembly seats, including Indiana's 100 House seats and nine congressional races up for election previous year.

That analysis looked only at U.S. House races, while the AP analysis also includes state legislative elections. Created to detect cases in which one party may have secured power through political gerrymandering, it found that the GOP may have won as many as 22 additional congressional seats more than expected.

Stephanopoulos and McGhee computed efficiency gaps for four decades of congressional and state House races starting in 1972, concluding the pro-Republican maps enacted after the 2010 Census resulted in "the most extreme gerrymanders in modern history". Despite operating under the bipartisan system since 1992, plans can get caught up in lengthy legal battles before settling on new district boundaries.

Rather, the number of statehouse seats occupied by Republicans and Democrats closely tracks with the ratio of voters choosing Republican and Democratic statehouse candidates statewide in the 2016 election, taking into account candidates who ran unopposed past year.

The state legislature redrew Kentucky's House districts in 2012.

United Nations: Refugee displacement at seven-decade high
Of that figure, one in every three people, roughly 4.9 million people , were hosted by the least developed countries. Canada announced an additional contribution of $86 million to assist starvation and war ravaged South Sudan.

In Texas, Republicans gained almost four excess congressional seats compared to projections from a typical votes-to-seats ratio, according to the AP's analysis. In Florida, Republicans had about 11 more seats in the state House than what would be expected statistically. That was especially true after the 2010 census, when new Republican majorities took control of the redistricting process. And other factors beyond partisan gerrymandering could explain the efficiency gap in Kentucky's election, including shifting political attitudes, voters moving to other districts and the quality of candidates. Yet Republicans won 57 percent of the House seats, claiming 63 seats to the Democrats' 47. The analysis placed Ohio's "efficiency gap" near the top for both state and congressional races. Florida was found to be one of the states with the largest Republican tilts in the state House.

The analysis found Republicans won 56 percent of the votes in Ohio's Statehouse races but 66 percent of the seats.

"Party control of redistricting is a powerful driver of the efficiency gap". Their mathematical model was cited last fall as "corroborative evidence" by a federal appeals court panel that struck down Wisconsin's state Assembly districts as an intentional partisan gerrymander. Political scientists say gerrymandering can cause a lack of competition, as party-friendly lines discourage challengers.

Democratic Sen. Matt Jones was a House representative appointed to the 2011 legislative reapportionment committee. The U.S. Supreme Court said it will hear that case, potentially affecting voting across the U.S.

Related:

  • Saudi Arabia announces Eid will begin on Sunday

    As soon as a committee views the crescent moon , it reports that the month of Ramadan is complete and the next month has begun. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has already predicted that Eid-ul-Fitr is likely to fall on June 26 .

    Activists Say the Trump Administration Is Making Yellowstone Bears Vulnerable to Hunters

    Grizzlies in every state aside from Alaska have been protected under the Endangered Species Act since 1975. Today, the Greater Yellowstone population has rebounded from a low of under 150 individuals to around 700.

    Azerbaijan F1 Grand Prix 2017 Qualifying: Results, Times from Friday's Practice

    Despite running this compound, Verstappen was running 3rd and Ricciardo 6th as the session approached its halfway point. The first practice got underway under a clear sky with track temperatures at a blistering 54 degrees C (129 degrees F).
  • Chinese airline among world's top ten in 2017

    Chinese airline among world's top ten in 2017

    This also marks the third time the airline has won all three First Class award categories at the World Airline Awards . The A380 flights include 26-inch entertainment screens, seats almost 2-feet wide and privacy partitions.
    Over 50 Injured as Deck Collapses at Montana Lodge

    Over 50 Injured as Deck Collapses at Montana Lodge

    Determining the cause of the collapse will be up to the resort's insurer, Lake County Sheriff Don Bell said. A 10-foot-high section of the deck buckled after a memorial service held in the camp's lodge.
    Newtown parent won't view NBC interview of Alex Jones

    Newtown parent won't view NBC interview of Alex Jones

    The fringe element that Jones represents needs to be understood, which isn't the same as needing to be condoned. Sunday Night , and all Sunday originals, was again overwhelmed by sports this week.
  • Manslaughter charges eyed in deadly Grenfell Tower blaze

    May said Friday that "she will work with and support the emergency services and relevant authorities to safeguard the public". Samples from 14 buildings in London, Manchester and Plymouth have already been found to be combustible.

    Queen s Speech for 2018 cancelled to deal with Brexit

    After facing intense pressure to soften her Brexit plans since the election , May promised to consult widely. Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron said: "This slimmed down Queen's Speech shows a Government on the edge".
    Messaging app Hike rolls out payment wallet

    Messaging app Hike rolls out payment wallet

    Hike Messenger has launched the new Hike 5.0 featuring Hike Wallet , the first payment feature in a messaging app. Users can choose from 10 well-crafted virtual envelopes and add their personal message to it.
  • A sticky situation: Legal weed linked to increased collisions

    A sticky situation: Legal weed linked to increased collisions

    The debate over whether marijuana legalization has led to more mayhem on Colorado highways has been raging for years. Data spanned collision claims filed between January 2012 and October 2016 for 1981 to 2017 model vehicles.
    China industrial park operator tumbles on Tesla deal denial

    China industrial park operator tumbles on Tesla deal denial

    The expected future growth in earnings per share ("EPS" ) is an incredibly important factor in identifying an under-valued stock. Over the long run, the price of a stock will normally go up in lock step with its earnings (assuming the P/E ratio is constant).
    Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons take shots at Ball family following Lakers' pick

    Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons take shots at Ball family following Lakers' pick

    At UCLA, Ball averaged 14.6 points, 6.0 rebounds and 7.6 assists per game in 35.1 minutes per game. But Lonzo has a lot to show and prove as a springboard for what the Ball brothers can do.

Comments

Latest news

Azerbaijan F1 Grand Prix 2017 Qualifying: Saturday's Results, Times, Final Grid
The pole is Hamilton's second in succession and puts him second on the all-time Formula One list behind Michael Schumacher on 68. Accepting responsibility for his qualifying result, Vettel said, "In the end, I was alone and had no tow in the last sector".

Tebow being promoted to Mets' affiliate in Florida
New York Mets General Manager Sandy Alderson announced Tebow will play his final game Sunday as a Columbia Fireflies outfielder. It's probably too late for anyone to save the Mets' 2017 season, but prospect Tim Tebow is one step closer to the major leagues.

Hicom-Geely Holding partnership to drive Proton towards bright future: PM
Geely is the parent company of Volvo, where it has carried out a successful turnaround of the business since acquiring it in 2010. Lotus is about as British as a cup of afternoon tea, but with new part-owners, the brand's cars may soon be built in China .

Indian PM Modi visits Portugal on trip to meet with Trump
Such a sale of sensitive military hardware must be authorized by the State Department before being sent to Congress for review. The briefing was the first substantive elaboration by the Trump administration of its India policy and the way forward.

South Korean official: Too late to host 2018 Olympics with North Korea
The Games are to be held in PyeongChang, which is just 40 miles from the demilitarized zone separating North from South. The South Korean minister cited North Korea's "top-class" Masikryong ski resort as a potential venue.

Coyotes get D Niklas Hjalmarsson in trade with Blackhawks
He has scored 55 goals and 106 points in 160 games since being traded, including 31 goals in his first season in Columbus. The Blackhawks are trading away the 25-year-old Panarin after two incredibly successful seasons with the team.

ETMarkets After Hours: Nifty skids as profit taking hits auto, bank stocks
Analysts owed the slump to profit booking ahead of a longer weekend as the market will stay closed on Monday on occasion of Eid. The Sensex touched a high of 31,365.39 points and a low of 31,296.01 points in the trade so far.

Fed: Biggest US banks strong enough to withstand recession
The Fed uses $50 billion as the current yardstick, but some legislators would like to raise the level to about $250 billion. Rejoice! Fed Stress Test Day is upon us! And under regulators selected by President Donald Trump , that may continue.

And so it begins: Brexit talks to focus 1st on orderly exit
May's government said it was "confident it can achieve a bold and ambitious deal that will work in the interest of the whole U.K". Those were, he said, the rights of expatriate citizens and problems of a new EU-UK border, notably cutting across Ireland.

Bells Ring For Whole Foods and Amazon
Amazon and Whole Foods have the combined power to engage in low cost pricing - something mom and pop shops certainly can't do. Mackey was vague in responding to questions after his opening remarks, simply saying that Whole Foods will have to "evolve".

The Venom Movie And Spider-Man: Homecoming Might Be Connected After All
Whenever it does end up releasing , the eight minutes of gameplay that we got at E3 was enough to sell many people on the game. Venom (starring Tom Hardy in the lead role) and Silver & Black stand-alone films have been announced.

US police probe Muslim girl's killing as 'road rage'
Alsalti says Hassanen's slaying hits close to home because he has a sister around her age who looks "just like her". Police said the argument escalated and Torres pulled over, chased the group with a baseball bat and attacked Nabra.

Portugal goal against Mexico annulled after video review
Commenting on the match, FIFA Secretary General Fatma Samoura said tickets for the group game between Portugal and Russian Federation have been sold.

Cosby team triumphant, but sex crime retrial, lawsuits loom
NY defense lawyer Harvey Fishbein noted Cosby's lawyers had shown fewer of their cards, resting without calling any witnesses. Constand herself sued Cosby in 2005 and settled for an undisclosed sum. "We're going to trial". "It was too much to handle".

Scotland boss proud of players after draw with England
One pass, one header goes somewhere else and we win the game. "But we are identifying those areas and we'll keep working on it". England trained with the Royal Marines in the build up to the match, and Kane praised the determination of the squad.

Other news